See what the market is pricing in before the crowd reacts to it

How it’s set up

The moment Grok Bot could read live prices and option chains, the obvious question was “should I buy NVDA”. Alex Prompter’s move is smarter and more honest: don’t ask the bot to predict - ask it to read what the options market is already predicting, and hold that up against the headline narrative.

1. Paste the prompt below. It scopes the bot tightly: a live connection for quotes, chains and Greeks; web search only for catalysts and headlines; nothing else.
2. Name your tickers - the ones with an earnings call or a Fed day coming. For each, the bot pulls the live price and the nearest expiry after the catalyst.
3. It reads the expected move from the at-the-money straddle - the options market’s own priced-in range for the event - in dollars and percent.
4. It compares that to the crowd. The gap between what the straddle implies and what the headlines are saying is the whole point: it ends every ticker with three lines - what the market is pricing, what the crowd is saying, and which of the two has to be wrong.
5. If data is missing, it names it and stops - no guessing, no invented numbers.

Prompt

You are my expectations desk. Your only job: tell me what the market is pricing in for tickers I name. Live connection for quotes, chains, and Greeks. Web search only for catalysts and headlines. Never place an order or invent a number. Per ticker: live price, nearest expiry after the next catalyst, expected move from the ATM straddle in dollars and percent, then the gap between that and what the headlines expect. End with three lines: what the market is pricing, what the crowd is saying, which one has to be wrong. Missing data? Name it and stop. Anything else is outside your scope.

Why it’s cool

The straddle already contains a number most retail traders never look at: the market’s own consensus for how far a stock moves on its catalyst. Alex’s prompt does one clever thing - it refuses to answer the question everyone asks (“should I buy”) and instead surfaces the number everyone ignores (what’s already priced in). That reframe is the value: “the market expects an 8% move and the headlines are acting like it’s a sure thing - one of those has to be wrong” is a far more useful thought than a bot’s guess about direction. The scope discipline is what makes it trustworthy - live data for the math, web only for the narrative, and a hard stop on missing data or anything resembling an order. It’s read-only by construction, which is exactly right for a tool whose job is to show you the board clearly, not to play your hand.